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Poster

A Dynamical View of the Question of Why

Mehdi Fatemi · Sindhu Chatralinganadoddi Mariyappa Gowda

Halle B
[ ]
Fri 10 May 1:45 a.m. PDT — 3:45 a.m. PDT

Abstract:

In this paper, we address causal reasoning in multivariate time series data generated by stochastic processes. Traditional approaches are largely restricted to static settings, ignoring the continuity and emission of variations across time. In contrast, we propose a learning paradigm that directly establishes causation between \emph{events} in the course of time. We present two key lemmas to compute causal contributions and frame them as reinforcement learning problems. Our approach offers formal and computational tools for uncovering and quantifying causal relationships in diffusion processes, subsuming various important settings such as discrete-time Markov decision processes. Finally, in fairly intricate experiments and through sheer learning, our framework reveals and quantifies causal links, which otherwise seem inexplicable.

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